(Bloomberg) — Europe and parts of the United States are bracing for a sweltering, dry summer this year, posing risks to crops and increasing demand for cooling energy at a time when commodity prices are already high. .
Scientists at the Copernicus Climate Change Service, who published their seasonal projection on Friday, said warmer, drier weather is very likely in key agricultural regions of the European Union. It could bring drought conditions for farmers already struggling with the impacts of climate change.
Abnormally high temperatures could also boost demand for natural gas for air conditioning. Russia’s war against Ukraine has already pushed up gasoline prices in Europe, contributing to a cost-of-living crisis across the region.
Scientists said there is a 70% to 100% chance that temperatures in the northeastern US, Spain, France and Italy will be well above average from June to August. At the same time, the chance of below-normal rainfall in swaths of central Europe, France, Spain and the northwestern United States was greater than 50%, the Copernicus team said.
Its model brings together data from scientists in the UK, France, Germany, Italy and the US. The EU program uses billions of measurements from satellites, ships, aircraft and weather stations around the world for its monthly and seasonal forecasts. .
Persistent drought has threatened to disrupt production of crops such as wheat and corn, just as Russia’s war in Ukraine threatens to cut shipments. The models developed by Copernicus are intended to help companies and governments plan for and potentially mitigate climate-related damage.
Europe and US Set for Scorching, Dry Summer, Scientists Say
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